Thursday, August 22, 2013

One moment in time?

Looking back, my view that I could make my living from a game I'd just learned at age of 42 was ludicrous. Thankfully I'm a very ludicrous person, so six years on, here we are. I went to Galway on a high after my Super Tuesday result. A big result takes the pressure of expectation off for a while, wich isn't necessarily a good thing. As a runner, I never retained a title, and all of my biggest wins came at the most unexpected times when I was generally being written off. Something in my psyche responds better to the pressure of ignominy than the adulation and praise that comes with success.

To motivate myself, I reminded myself I was going not just for a fourth cash in a row in UKIPT main events, but a fourth consecutive day 3, and hoping to actually make a final table at last. My day 1 went very well until it didn't. With a little over an hour left to play, I had worked my way up from 20k starting stack to almost 60k with no major setbacks. Then I ran queens into kings for half my stack, and after a period of card death had been cut in half again down to less than starting stack, found what looked like my first good shipping spot (a suited ace) only to run straight into Fiachra Meere's jacks.

My plan was to play some side events, but I ended up instead splitting my time between socialising (the poker village created more or less the perfect environment for that) and doing livestream commentary. My first stint in the commentary box gave me a chance to observe the work of Clayton Mooney, the Firm's American signing (already nicknamed the Yank). Clayton has effectively been benched since Black Friday, but after being encouraged out of his homeland by David Lappin came back with a bang in his first couple of weeks in Ireland, making several final tables in the Fitzwilliam and winning two online tournaments in his first night back on the cyberfelt.

My co-commentator for most of the time was Emmet Kennedy, who is always a delight to work with. For someone who is not primarily poker in terms of his background, Emmet is a very astute observer of the game and makes very good points and asks very good questions. As the tournament got down to the business end, I was in the commentary box to see Nick Newport stone cold bubble, also running queens into kings. Nick has been having a hard time of it recently running really badly but keeps plugging away. That's all you can do in a downswing: keep playing, keep making good decisions, and have faith that things will turn around eventually.

Jamie Flynn wrote a very entertaining blog looking at some "scandals" from Galway. I can add one to that list, kinda. I was in the commentary box (actually a small commentary tent out the back of the main marquee) when one of the production staff stepped out. He stepped straight back in, looking ashen faced. When pressed for an explanation, he told us that one of the best known players in Ireland was relieving himself up against the tent, in full public view. This despite the fact that ample bathroom facilities were available less than 20 metres away. Hygiene is always a bit of a worry at the poker table: in particular none of us likes to think that any of our table mates might rush back from the bathroom without washing their hands. Yet here you had a boyo not even bothering to use the bathroom, thereby giving himself no opportunity to wash his hands, rushing back to handle chips and cards that would also be handled by everyone else at his table.

Poker is fairly unique in how quickly you can rise through the ranks (so to speak) at any age. It's hard to imagine you could take up tennis at the age of 42 and find yourself competing in Wimbledon a few years later, and commentating on it. Within a few months of learning the game, I found myself sitting at the same table as some of the players whose TV exploits had inspired me to take it up (Nicky Power was at my table the first time I ever played outside the Fitz, and Neil Channing and Roy Brindley were both at my table at my first ever big tournament, the IPC in Galway). Wind forward a couple of years and I'm doing a long commentary stint at the Irish Open with Emmet Kennedy and my hero Neil Channing as Niall Smyth gradually grinds Surindar Sunar down on his way to a memorable victory. That same year, the man who will always be the voice of poker, Jesse May, interviewed me about my exit, a surreal moment when you realize people at home are listening to me talking about it the same way I listened to other players do the same. Wind forward to Galway this year and I did a stint in the commentary box with Jesse and got to comment on my friend Daragh Davey make a late charge towards the final table.

At the end of my stint, I went to the bar to watch the livestream with the Firm crew. Daragh was down to the last nine (the unofficial final table) but it was looking touch and go as to whether he would make the official final table of 8. Particularly when he got it in with nines against the chipleader's aces. As Jesse pointed out on commentary, things weren't looking good for him....until a magic nine hit the river snding the Firm rail wild with delight. There was no such display of exuberance from Daragh, just a wry smile, and a short while later he coolered Max Silver and the final table was formed, with Daragh in possession of a stack that made him a real threat.

Daragh tends to take everything in his stride with aplomb, so it was no surprise he got the most sleep of any of us and was good to go the next day. Early on the final table, the eventual winner ran a high risk high octane bluff on him that worked. After Daragh reluctantly folded, he was shown the bluff, presumably an attempt to tilt him, but Daragh is far too experienced and level headed for that. He knuckled down, regrouped, and played the best he possibly could before eventually busting in third. Over the past couple of years I have had the pleasure of watching Daragh emerge as the top young player in Ireland, a truly well rounded player who can crush live cash and tournaments, and win online majors (two and counting). Jason Tompkins sent a tweet from Australia hailing him as the best poker player in the Firm, something I would agree with. More important than his talent is the grace with which he handles himself in all situations. It's pretty safe to predict Daragh will never be seen pissing up against the wall of a poker venue, or fistpumping in the face of a defeated opponent. As such he is a credit to his parents, and his mother showed up to rail him (Lappin instantly named her Momgoose) so we had the pleasure of meeting her.

We are all shaped to a very large degree by our parents and our childhood. I come from a background of abject poverty. As I was growing up, my parents didn't own a house, a car or even a TV. Family life was heavily coloured by a constant struggle to keep food on the table and the wolf (or rather debtors) from the door. This backdrop caused me to place an unusually high importance on money and the making of it in my early adulthood. I was determined that when I had a wife and kids of my own that they would never have to worry about money the way myself and my brother did as kids, or have to endure the jeers in the schoolyard as "the poor kids". As I worked my way up the corporate ladder, my only question when considering a new opportunity was "how much does it pay?".

In my late 20s, I realised that while I went into every new job thinking only about the money, when I looked back, it was the least of my concerns. My memories centred around how interesting the work and the people I worked with were, and how well I got on with them. This caused me to broaden the parameters of my decision making, and to do things for reasons other than money, ultimately leading me to ultra running, and poker (which as I said at the start of this blog was a ludicrous long shot that worked).

The reason I bring all this up now is that looked at from a purely short term financial point of view, the Galway festival was not a success. Full Tilt had to foot the bill for the overlay on the main event, the construction of the venue and all the rest of it. But I believe when we look back on this amazing event in years to come, we will barely remember this, if at all. Instead we will remember the most amazing poker event ever created, that drew thousands and thousands of players to a marquee in Galway at a time when the country as a whole was deep in recession. As such, it will be remembered as a most unexpected and delightful success, created through the toil and belief of people like Fintan Gavin, Kirsty Thompson, Dave Curtis, Rebecca McAdam. People will remember that the voice of poker, Jesse May, was there to scream "it's a nine!" when Daragh Davey magically hit the river. They will remember how local legend Christy Morkan made a deep run to the final table, how the winner ran and showed a sick bluff. They will remember the fun they had at the pool table, or the Pacman or the open faced Chinese, that Gus Hansen came and nicked a girl from under Gary Clarke, that Isildurr was there too and got to hang with the legend that is Mick Mccloskey, or a hundred other memory makers sprinkled through the festival.

Everyone who helped make this happen deserves our applause and our good will. It's refreshing to see a poker site willing to go out on a limb and risk losing some of the money they rake daily from players online, to give something back. Hopefully, when we do look back on this in years to come, it will be as the start of something special (I firmly believe that if the organisers stick with this it can only grow in future years) rather than a one off moment of poker heaven.


Wednesday, August 14, 2013

A Super Tuesday in the life (how one man and his dog won Super Tuesday, almost)

1.59 PM: I wake up and reach for my phone. My routine most days is to check my phone quickly for any urgent messages while the laptop fires up. Then I answer a few mails and messages on various sites, and mess around on Facebook Viber and Twitter for a while.

2.01 PM: Read my friend Gary Clarke's latest blog and it makes me chuckle. Gary's blog isn't much about poker, more about what it's like inside the mind of Gary. Definitely one of my favourite blogs though so I send him a tweet about it.

2.09 PM: Tweet my good luck wishes to my friend Tom "Jabracada" Hall. Tom won last year's UKIPT leaderboard so I'm not surprised to read on the Full Tilt blog that he is busting up the IPC. Also read on the blog that Gus Hansen is playing the €40 Daily Grind so I am tickled by the idea of him min cashing it and having it on his Hendon mob.

2.12 PM: I log on to Facebook on my laptop and chat with a few people while I chat with Jason (Tompkins) on my phone. Since Jason went to Australia to get the jump on us all by 9 hours we have gotten into the habit of having the chats as he winds down and I wake up.

2.51 PM: I decide to weigh into the middle of a Twitter tiff between my friend David (Lappin) and his lovely girlfriend Saron on vegetarianism. David and Saron are one of those opposites attract couples that have people wondering what a nice girl like Saron is doing with him. Saron is a vegetarian and generally and in all ways just about the nicest most compassionate person you could ever meet, while David is....um.....David Lappin. I jokingly compare David to Hitler. He responds "I'll take that". We get into a discussion of whether (as is widely believed) Hitler actually loved animals, or it was all Goebbels propaganda.

3.40 PM: Having met my daily requirements for gossip and banter, I switch the laptop off and get up. As I do most days, first on the list is a run with Sasha, my beautiful blonde. We run to the local park and I let her off the leash. She's very athletic for someone who is mostly labrador (she looks like one, but is shorter, slimmer, faster and barkier) so she bounds around the place like a little racehorse chasing birds and running away from other dogs that she enjoys teasing (she knows she can get away with murder as she can outrun them all).

4.30 PM: Sasha and I arrive back from our run. I have a quick bath and then eat breakfast with Mrs. Doke. My start time varies from day to day depending on what's on. Tuesday is always centred around the 3x satellites for Super Tuesday which I grind for the t$ (if I satellite in, I snap unreg and get credited t$1050) so I aim to start at....

5.50 PM: I late reg the first few Super Tuesday 3x's and early reg all the others, along with some other 3x's. I also reg for all the UKIPT satellites on Stars and Full Tilt, and a couple of games on French Stars. That will fill my screens quick enough so I don't bother opening the other sites I normally play on.

9.45 PM: I'm feeling unusually tilted. The evening session has not gone well (understatement). I bricked all the 3x satellites except for a couple that are still going, and everything else for that matter. I have a stack in one 3x with 4 left (2 seats) and it's touch and go as to whether it will end before Super Tuesday starts at 10. So I'm sweating on two fronts: getting one of the 2 seats on offer, and getting it on time to unreg.

9.59 PM: Now resigned to being thrown into Super Tuesday if I do win a seat as the satellite is still four handed. Also lost a UKIPT 3x headsup to my good friend Jamie Burland so I vent a little steam on Twitter (not directed at Jamie obviously, who played brilliantly as ever) and Skype to the Firm lads. They do what they always do: ignore me. Except for Smidge who is always good for a ul at the very least.

10.04 PM: The satellite ends and I'm thrown into Super Tuesday. I'm three tabling and feeling tired and a bit tilted so I decide not to reg anything else. Some days you just have to accept it's not your day and unless I cash Super Tuesday or bink one of the 2 remaining 3x sats I have on screen, I'm looking at a four figure losing day (which is rare in my world outside of Sundays). Normally I sell for Super Tuesday but at this late stage it's messy and a hassle to start chasing my usual supporters to see if they want a piece, and none of them appear to be on Skype, so I decide to let it ride.

10.33 PM: I brick the other 2 sats so I shift Super Tuesday to my laptop and go next door to eat with Mrs. Doke. She's surprised to see me this early. My normal routine is to keep regging til 11 or 11.30ish, and around midnight switch everything to the laptop and go eat dinner. We watch a few episodes of The Daily Show while I mostly click the Fold button. My table is pretty tough, I have a lot of players tagged as beasts, so I stick to my default strategy in situations like this of playing tight. That also has the advantage of requiring very little brain power.

1 AM: Mrs Doke heads up to bed. She asks me if I'm doing a night session (I mentally split my working day into two: the evening session which I allow to start decaying at 11 or 11.30 usually but continues til I bust everything and sometimes runs into the night session when I start regging again some time between 1 and 2 AM, and keep regging until around 4 AM). I tell her there will be no night session tonight, as I'm tired (after a long Sunday and Monday), somewhat tilted, and heading to Galway in the afternoon for the UKIPT, so as soon as I bust my last game, I will be up. I move back to my grind room, switch back to the desktop, and turn on the TV. For the next hour or so, the TV gets most of my attention. I have a sub 20 big blind stack so will for the most part be either shoving or (mostly) folding. I don't really feel the need to pay attention to the hands I'm not in as my HUD stats will give me a much better idea of people's opening and calling ranges.

1.45 AM: Still in, and now we are near enough to the bubble I can start to get a bit excited about cashing. The min cash will basically get me out for the day which feels like it would be a decent result after such a bad evening session. I've cashed 3 of the last 4 times I've played so I'm pretty optimistic. I turn off the TV to give the game my full attention. Still have a pretty boring stack, but I note that I've been on this table for quite some time now, and haven't played ever before with several of these players, so they will perceive me as very tight. I therefore feel that despite my stack it could be profitable to start opening way wider than normal, so I do that. It works really well for a while and I chip up to over 30 bigs with no resistance by picking the right blinds to target (guys I haven't played with before so I know they have no stats on me, and who's OPR suggests are seeing the bubble and min cash as a very big deal).

2.12 AM: I open 77 from the cutoff and one of the best players in the world p0cket00 reshoves 23 bigs from the small blind. Normally I'm not calling off 23 bigs with a medium pair but after some thought I decide to call. I think he induces with most of his bigger pairs and I think he is reacting to my recent gear change (and possibly he has HUD stats on me from previous times we have played) so I think 77 is well ahead of the range. He can have smaller pairs or Ax hands where x < 8, but I expect to be flipping most of the time. In this situation, I don't mind taking a flip as if I win it I will be chipleader at the table and can really pound the bubble and build a stack that gives me a real shot at final tabling. As it happens, he has KJo and rivers me, but I'm happy with the call if not the result.

2.25 AM: Despite the setback, we are now within a few of the bubble and I have continued to prosper by opening a lot of pots. p0cket00 has just been coolered and is back to a reshoving stack so when I open 88 (the best hand I've had in ages) from early position, I already know I'm snap calling if he shoves. He does, I do, and this time I hold, eliminating the strongest player on the table near the bubble. Happy days as I'm now 20/75 and hoping the bubble (72 are getting paid) will go on a while so I can keep the pressure up.

2.47 AM: The bubble burst a while ago so I tightened up as the shorter stacks who folded into the money are much happier to gamble now. It's folded to me on the button and not having opened for a while, I decide to open Q9o, a decent well above average hand, knowing that if the 12 bb stack in the big blind shoves I have to call (if the much bigger stack in the small blind expresses an interest, I'm folding). He does, so I call, hoping to be flipping again but knowing that even if I'm not, I always have the correct price to call unless I am dominated. Unfortunately I am. Fortunately I suck out. By now my rail has grown and there is some banter about how Doke always seems to get there.

2.55 AM: I'm 19/47 now and my ambitions have risen a bit beyond getting out for the day. The plan at this point is to play pretty loose but not as loose as I did on the bubble, and try to pick good spots.

2.57 AM: My friend Max Heinzelmann (EPT player of the year 2 years ago) joins the rail and says he hopes I didn't sell any and have all my own action. Max is one of my biggest supporters and has bought in the past whenever I sold for this or live events like the WSOP. I tell him I have it all as it was too late to sell. Max is probably the best player I know, and also one of the sweetest guys.

3.12 AM: My rail is joined by one of Ireland's best online players, Dan "danloulou" Smyth. Dan more or less bubbled the sat that I got in thru, but he's a generous guy who likes to see his friends do well. I'm also chatting with my daughter Fiona who is in Santa Cruz for the summer. I mention I'm one tabling but don't tell her what.

3.57 AM: A difficult hour and I haven't been able to add to my stack much. They are dropping like flies so now I'm 20/26. It's time to get busy again.

4.49 AM: I'm still hanging in there and the rail is getting bigger and bigger, with more people popping up on Facebook, Twitter and Skype to wish me luck. Jason wakes up in Australia and immediately joins the rail. I'm also joined by Sasha, who sleeps in the next room but usually comes to see me around this time. Most nights she just gets a quick pat, but because I'm only one tabling she's pretty thrilled that I am willing to tickle and wrestle with her for a while.

4.56 AM: We are down to two tables and I'm now 15/18. I have a quick look at the payouts to see where the big ICM inflection points are. I note in passing that 6th place would be my biggest ever online score (I got 25k for winning the Bodog major a few years ago, and the same when I won the Merge major). Dan and Jason are in my ear constantly pointing out that even though I am one of the shorter stacks I don't need to force the pace as the structure is still very good. Normally I play 20 bigs and less very loose taking any plus Ev spot, but I agree with their view that in a structure like this you can pass some of the marginal ones and be a bit more patient.

5.29 AM: I call a shove from a player my rail is telling me is Moorman's girlfriend. She has the kind of spanners Moorman would have in that spot and I hold. I now have a good stack again and can start to apply some pressure in the run up to the final table. My rail is growing and my close friend Padraig "Smidge" O'Neill appears on Skype to tell me he is railing on his iPhone at a cash table in Galway, and isn't alone. Chris Dowling at the same table is doing likewise, and I'm getting tweets from him and others in Galway like Jamie Burland, Kevin Williams, Glenn Ross Keogh and Patrick Griffin to name but a few.

5:53 AM: I continue to apply the pressure and build a top 5 stack until I lose a sick one to Toby Lewis. He threebets me from the small blind. I suspect he could be light (he is naturally loose, and would have picked up that I'm opening much wider recently). As it happens, I have a hand (AQ) so folding is not an option. I elect to smooth call, disguising the strength of my hand, controlling the size of the pot and also because while my hand is well ahead of his 3 betting range in this spot, it's not in great shape against his continuing range. If I 4 bet and get 5 bet shoved on, I'm in a pretty awful spot, so I just call. The flop is Q9x with two diamonds and he fires a continuation bet. I'm pretty sure I have the best hand at this point (it's a cooler if I don't) but I'm uncertain whether I should raise or just flat again. Flatting keeps the pot small for now, and invites him to keep betting the bluff part of his range, but there are a lot of scare cards that can hit the turn (any diamond, any card between an 8 and a king) that leave me in a tough spot if he barrels the turn, so after a long tank I raise, thinking he might shove draws or worse one pair hands. He thinks for a while and flat calls. A 9 hits the turn and after he checks I again have a decision. Do I check behind and risk letting a draw get there (or get bluffed off the best hand if an obvious one does and he shoves river) but possibly encourage him to bluff his missed draws, or do I protect what I believe to be the best hand (I can't see too many nines in his range)? Eventually I decide to shove for just over pot, and he snaps with K9. I'm feeling pretty sick and unsure about how I played the hand but Jason is straight in to tell me I played it fine and just got unlucky. Toby gracefully says something along the lines of "gross, ul" in the chatbox. After the dust has cleared, I'm crippled, 10/10, and a short priced favourite to bubble the final table. Sasha who was already becoming increasingly annoyed at the diminished attention and tickling as the tension mounted immediately realizes something very bad just happened and decides to return to her bed next door.

6.01 AM: I get a couple of shoves through and then get lucky. When you shove a hand like A6o you really don't like the snap call as it generally means you are playing one card. In this case it's the ace as I have been called by 66, so I have just over 30%. My opponent holds til the river but then a rather beautiful ace appears. Chris Dowling snap tweets Ace ball!!!!! and I am now very much back in the hunt.

6.12 AM: I chip up a bit more on the final table bubble, but then I lose KK v A4 all in pre to hit the final table the shortest 9/9. I still have a workable stack though and several others don't have much more than me, so the plan is not to force the pace. However...

6.15 AM: I pick up a hand I can't get away from, jacks, in early early position. I have 20 big blinds and two choices: just open jam and try to avoid a race, or induce (min raise with the intention of calling a shove). If ICM was bigger at this point I would just open jam, but as the shortest stack at a tough table (there are only two obvious spots of value), I'm quite happy to take a small edge at this point in the form of a race. Although JJ v AQ is often referred to as a coin flip (implying it's 50/50), jacks is actually a pretty solid favourite (almost 57%) so when I do get it in versus the small blind's AQ, I'm not unhappy. I'm even happier when I hold.

6.55 PM: I'm pretty card dead for most of the final table and in ICM misery for a lot of it (overwhelming chipleader and a lot of even stacks) so I stick to a strategy very similar to one I used in my 9 man sit n go days of tight early intending to loosen up when it goes short handed. There are a few spots I was asked about by my Firm teammates when they watched it on the replayer most of which came down to me passing on marginal edges or taking low variance lines due to the ICM considerations. The closest ones were:
Hand 1: I just open folded KJo in the kidnap (seat before hijack). I would normally open this (at some tables I would open a hand as weak as QJo from any position) but at this table I didn't think it would take the blinds often enough to compensate for the times I get flatted and have to play a hand as mucky and easily dominated as KJo, or get threebet and have to fold (with the situation and dynamic I wasn't willing to 4 bet light with this hand).
Hand 2: Five hand I just folded KQo on the button after an open and a flat. I felt this was a profitable reshove spot, but not very profitable, and I felt it wasn't getting through very often so basically I'd usually be flipping in a spot where my ICM was big. In most online tourneys I would unquestionably and unthinkingly go with this, but in this structure with two players whose online records showed they were big losing players (I had OPRed and PTRed everyone left at this point to get an idea of their lifetime records) I didn't mind passing a marginal spot.
Hand 3: I called a min raise from the big blind after the button flatted with 44, effectively set mining with a pretty shallow stack. My thinking here was that while I could shove and probably end up racing against one of them (in actual fact the opener had tens), flatting was much lower variance, as I could fold most flops where I don't spike a set, but felt I would get paid off if I got lucky. Because of the raise size I only need one bet after the flop to get the right price to set mine, and because of the post flop tendencies of the other two players (the two players with lifetime losing records left in), I felt I would nearly always get at least one bet paid off, and would often get the full double up. As it happens, I flopped bottom set on a jack high board, the button did bet when checked to, and reluctantly called my river shove with KJo on a JT4Ax board.
Hand 4: I folded A3s over a loose button raiser with a reshove stack. This was all ICM as there was one very short stack still in. I would probably have gone with A5s but A3s just seemed too weak. While it's well ahead of the button opener's range, it's crushed by his calling range (I will usually be playing one card again).

7.15 AM: The rail continues to grow and become more international (Alex Lemme pops up on Twitter, and Marco Drafehn tweets that he is getting odd looks from his co-workers as he fistpumps while looking at his iPhone) as the battle continues. For most of the rest of the tournament I am the short stack. My read is it's unlikely a deal will be agreed by the other two winning players (who have most of the chips) as long as the two lifetime losing players remain. One of them limp and check folds his way out of the tournament and we are now 4 handed. The other covers me easily so I'm short priced favourite to be fourth which at least reduces my ICM considerations and means I can go for any spot I recognise as profitable.


7.34 AM: I shove 88 over the serial button raiser. This time he has a hand that can call (the replayer later reveals he folded 44 to an earlier reshove). I hold versus his AJ and now I'm back in it. David and Saron Skype call me (they obviously kissed and made up and decided the vegetarian and the foie gras addict can be friends).

7.49 AM: I go into the tank after opening 99 and getting 3 bet from the small blind by the sole lifetime losing player remaining. I eventually 4 bet jam and get it through (I later find out on the replayer he had KQo so I avoided a race).

7.50 AM: I cold 4 bet kings from the big blind and get it through. I'm now up to 2/4

7.52 AM: The sole remaining losing player is crippled after he reshoves KTo into aces. He busts next hand.

7.54 AM: Two hands into the three handed, chipleader JWPRODIGY suggests looking at the numbers for a deal. Everyone agrees to have a look. David is off scrutinising our records and how mine will appear to them, and his assessment is while dealing makes sense for me, it does for them too. Our lifetime winnings on Stars are all similar, but David points out that I've done it over less games and have the highest ROI so he feels the two guys will be happy to deal. Both of the others have played the final table very well so I'm happy to do a deal at this point so long as I get my full equity. The initial chipcount deal proposed doesn't do that, giving me just under $82k, so I insist on an ICM deal. David advises me on the wording (I can be a little blunt in these spots) as I stick to my guns after both the others suggest they need a few K extra to agree. Eventually the deal is agreed and we play on for $6k. I get headsup with JWPRODIGY only to get coolered 7h7x v AhAx on a 6 high all heart flop.

I spend most of the next hour in a post "I just won 85 grand" euphoria while chatting to my rail and thanking the gl and wd messages. It feels pretty special to see just how many people seem genuinely thrilled for me. David and Saron clearly are and if anything are more emotional about the whole thing than I am, and for the next few days I'm very touched when guys like Chris Dowling and Jesse May are telling me how happy it made them. Jesse said "I was really happy when I heard, I'm not sure why" and my German pal Max Heinzelmann said he could think of few people he would be happier for.

Fiona pops back on and asks how my table finished. I tell her what I just won. Her reaction is succinct.

"Holy f..."

8.50 AM: I hear movement upstairs so it sounds like Mrs Doke just woke up. I go up and she asks why I never came to bed.
"I cashed in that tournament. It just finished"
"How much?"
"85....."
She looks at me a bit confused as to why I seem pretty pleased with myself.
"85 bucks?"
"No. 85......"
"85 hundred. Wow! Great!"
"No. 85 grand"
"85 thousand?"
Good enough for a squeal it seems. After said squeal though, her face suddenly looks slightly disppointed, and she says
"But it's only dollars, right?"









Monday, August 5, 2013

In Galway (but not at the races)

As preparation for the so-called Ireland v England (or was it UK? There seemed to be some confusion on that point) headsup clash in Galway, I'd gathered what information I had on my opponents (two of whom I've played thousands of hands online with) and got David Lappin to act as a sort of sparring partner (we played 5 headsup games with him attempting to ape the styles I'd likely be up against). Having gone to the trouble of this preparation, I therefore wasn't thrilled when told just before kickoff in Galway that the original draw had been scrapped and it was now just a straight knockout, with each Irish player facing a UK opponent. I understand this made things a lot simpler for the organisers who were worried about long waits between rounds and players losing motivation in their third match if they had already lost the first two, but things turned even worse for me when I learned my one off opponent would be UK captain Jake Cody. My only significant table time with Jake live was in a UKIPT High Roller in Nottingham a few years ago (which he won!) and I was so impressed by him on that occasion that I generally provide it as the answer to the question "Who is the most impressive player you ever played against?" whenever asked.

After learning my draw (and receiving commiserations from teammates, the tournament director and dealers), I tweeted it and jokingly added the hashtag #FML. This hashtag apparently led some on IPB to believe I had mentally lost the game before it even started, but nothing could be further from the truth. While I'm not deluded enough to believe I would ever be a favourite against Jake, I have enough experience of headsup to know that the better player doesn't always win, or even close. At worst, I felt I had a 40% chance or so of winning, and felt if I could keep it close until the point where the effective stacks dipped below 20 big blinds, it would essentially be 50/50. The fact that there is no such thing as a dead cert when it comes to headsup was illustrated by some of the other matches. On paper, EPT London champion Steve O'Dwyer (arguably the strongest player on either team) looked like a lock to win his match against Sin Menis, but to her credit Sin pulled off an upset. On any given day anyone can beat anyone else in headsup, and I wouldn't have stumped up €1100 of my own money to play the event if I thought I was drawing dead. (And on another side note, last night I got headsup against Steve on Full Tilt for a UKIPT seat and managed to win).

While it was billed as a team event, and they did kit us all out in matching tracksuit tops, my view (and I suspect that of nearly all the other participants) is that it wasn't really. Certainly it felt nothing like the last team event I played in, the European Nations Championship in Cyprus, where no money was on the line and only national pride to be played for. At the end of the day, we all chucked €1100 into the prize pool, which was to be divided among the top 4 individuals, with no team prize. So in reality we were all playing for each other's money, including that of our "teammates".

Normally my strategic approach to headsup is low variance small ball, designed to maximize the opportunity to exploit any skill edge over my opponent. With no such edge in this case, it seemed the plan might be to do the opposite: bloat pots preflop to try and negate my opponents post flop skill edge, and ramp up the variance. All good in theory, but with zero practise of this type of game, I didn't fully execute this plan, tending to revert to type in the heat of battle.

The format was best of 3 matches and things started poorly in the first when I decided I was going to check call all the way to the river with a one pair hand, which might have worked if Jake hadn't hit the river. On the event blog the blogger noted I looked uncomfortable when Jake did bet the river, and on reflection I should have found the fold as I felt deep down he had got there. That left me with half a stack. There I remained for the next hour or so as we traded blinds back and forth without either of us making any real headway. By the end of the hour, my (half) stack was now 20 bigs, so when Jake raised the button (which he was doing 80% of the time), A3s was strong enough to shove. Unfortunately my first such shove found him with a hand, and his queens held.

The second leg started much better for me, and I gradually chipped up to close to a 2:1 lead. However, I wasn't able to finish him off over the next hour, and as the blinds rose to the sub 20 big blinds effective zone, Jake seemed to get the better cards to claw his way back to parity. Looking down at a succession of 4 and 5 highs I couldn't even defend my big blind, and when I finally did with Q6s I flopped middle pair on a T62 board and we got it in. Unfortunately my timing was as bad as the first game: Jake had kings this time and held.

At the risk of sounding like one of those football managers who insist the scoreline didn't do their team justice, I felt the match was a lot closer than the glib 2-0 scoreline would suggest (our match was one of the last to finish). That said, I wouldn't dispute that Jake deserved to win: he played flawlessly, and I didn't. Apart from the bad hero call in the first leg, I don't think I misplayed any hands but reviewing the match afterwards in my mind I wish I had gone for a strategy of 3 and 4 betting more to push Jake out of his comfort zone. Jake never once 4 bet me all match (he did peel a lot of my 3 bets though, following a smart strategy of trying to keep the pots small preflop), so it would have been profitable for me to 3 bet more, and 4 bet (that said, Jake's obviously good enough that if I had increased my 3 and 4 betting frequencies he would have made the correct adjustments).

Lappin was a late call up to the team and got pitched in at the deep end against Max Silver (he also lost 2-0), and Daragh Davey would probably have been viewed as favourite to beat Marc Foggan but also went down 2-0, so it was a bit of a whitewash for the Firm unfortunately. Overall, the team only won 5 of the 16 first round matches, and all fell in the second round.

Galway's not a bad place to be at a loose end, and we went out to dinner with some English friends (Jamie Burland, Kevin Willians, and Dave Nicholson). Kevin made it to the final (losing to Gus Hansen), Dave fell in the semi final, and Janie in the quarters, so all three were pretty bouyant at dinner.

The poker village is a pretty special venue: fair play to Fintan, Dave Curtis and Kirsty Thompson for pulling it off. With the UKIPT main event only a few days away, there is a lot of speculation over a likely overlay. With less than 400 online qualifiers to date it's difficult to see where the additional 600 players to make the guarantee are going to come from. Some are speculating they could come up as many as 400 (players and grand) short: my own feeling is 200 is more likely. But I will be stunned if they manage to make the guarantee at this point.

As much as I love an overlay (and down the years a fair chunk of my online profit has come from selecting games with overlays), I don't think it will be good for Irish poker overall if Full Tilt take a bath on this one. If it causes major sites and organisers to strike Ireland (or at least the part of it that isn't Dublin) off their list of places you can hold a major tournament, it will be a blow for the live scene here that is already struggling to support events with a buyin of 500 or more. While I admire the ambition of putting a million guarantee on the event (all the other UKIPT legs including London are half a million), it was always going to be a stretch, but given the way these things work, I suspect if Full Tilt do end up footing a considerable overlay, the message that will go out will be "stick to Dublin for the big events".

If that happens, this Galway festival could be a once in a lifetime opportunity for Irish players to experience something like this. Nicky Power summed it up perfectly in his blog by saying that that being the case, Irish players should do everything they can to get there by hook or by crook. It may very well be the last million prize pool tournament with a 1k buyin we see in Ireland in our lifetime.

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